Faculty Soccer Week 2: Early Traces, Odds & Predictions (2022)

Myles Price

Right here’s an early take a look at Faculty Soccer Week 2 spreads, together with my projections. We’ll run by means of main accidents which are affecting spreads and hit on video games you may need to think about betting early within the week attributable to anticipated line motion.

Within the field under are my adjusted spreads for this weekend’s video games. ATL stands for “Adjusted Thor Line.” Spreads are from the angle of the house staff, i.e. a unfavourable quantity means the house staff is favored. Within the worth column, a unfavourable quantity signifies factors of worth on the unfold for the house staff, whereas a constructive quantity signifies factors worth on the away staff. ATT stands for “Adjusted Thor Whole.” Projected totals are based mostly on 2021 information and don’t account for personnel or schematic modifications (ie deliver that with you to your handicap)

* Projected totals coming quickly

Try Thor Nystrom’s Week 2 Faculty Soccer Energy Rankings >>

Faculty Soccer Week 2: Early Traces, Odds & Predictions




Away
Residence
ATL
Unfold
Worth
Day


Louisville
UCF
-4.7
-5
0.3
Friday


Boise St.
New Mexico
22.4
17
5.4
Friday


Alabama
Texas
14.5
18
-3.5
Saturday


Arkansas St.
Ohio St.
-44.5
-44.5
0.0
Saturday


Southern Miss
Miami (FL)
-26.5
-25.5
-1.0
Saturday


South Carolina
Arkansas
-9.7
-9
-0.7
Saturday


Wake Forest
Vanderbilt
8.8
6.5
2.3
Saturday


Missouri
Kansas St.
-7.1
-8
0.9
Saturday


Duke
Northwestern
-13.4
-8
-5.4
Saturday


Ohio
Penn St.
-31.2
-25.5
-5.7
Saturday


North Carolina
Georgia St.
10.0
9
1.0
Saturday


UTSA
Military
-0.1
2
-2.1
Saturday


South Alabama
Central Michigan
-6.1
-6
-0.1
Saturday


Western Michigan
Ball St.
4.9
6.5
-1.6
Saturday


Marshall
Notre Dame
-19.9
-19
-0.9
Saturday


Appalachian St.
Texas A&M
-14.8
-16.5
1.7
Saturday


Tennessee
Pittsburgh
0.2
4.5
-4.3
Saturday


Washington St.
Wisconsin
-18.4
-17
-1.4
Saturday


Colorado
Air Power
-14.4
-14.5
0.1
Saturday


Memphis
Navy
8.4
6.5
1.9
Saturday


Maryland
Charlotte
20.3
25.5
-5.2
Saturday


Akron
Michigan St.
-36.3
-34
-2.3
Saturday


Iowa St.
Iowa
-6.5
-3.5
-3.0
Saturday


Houston
Texas Tech
0.2
-3
3.2
Saturday


UNLV
California
-12.4
-13.5
1.1
Saturday


Virginia
Illinois
1.1
-3.5
4.6
Saturday


Center Tennessee
Colorado St.
-4.0
-7.5
3.5
Saturday


Previous Dominion
East Carolina
-11.4
-11
-0.4
Saturday


UAB
Liberty
1.6
4
-2.4
Saturday


Kansas
West Virginia
-12.3
-14
1.7
Saturday


Kent St.
Oklahoma
-32.4
-31
-1.4
Saturday


Kentucky
Florida
-2.6
-5.5
2.9
Saturday


Massachusetts
Toledo
-29.9
-29
-0.9
Saturday


Northern Illinois
Tulsa
-3.4
-6.5
3.1
Saturday


Jap Michigan
Louisiana
-8.8
-11.5
2.7
Saturday


Florida Worldwide
Texas St.
-12.3
-10.5
-1.8
Saturday


Syracuse
Connecticut
25.4
20.5
4.9
Saturday


Arizona St.
Oklahoma St.
-8.7
-11
2.3
Saturday


USC
Stanford
11.2
10.5
0.7
Saturday


San Jose St.
Auburn
-21.9
-21.5
-0.4
Saturday


Georgia Southern
Nebraska
-20.7
-21
0.3
Saturday


Hawai’i
Michigan
-43.8
-48.5
4.7
Saturday


Boston Faculty
Virginia Tech
-3.2
-3.5
0.3
Saturday


Baylor
Brigham Younger
-3.0
-2.5
-0.5
Saturday


New Mexico St.
UTEP
-13.6
-13
-0.6
Saturday


Oregon St.
Fresno St.
-2.3
1
-3.3
Saturday


Mississippi St.
Arizona
14.1
7.5
6.6
Saturday

Faculty Soccer Recreation Previews & Information

Boise St. (-17) at New Mexico (Friday)
ATL: BSU -22.4

Referees ejected New Mexico LB Alec Marenco within the second half of a win over an FCS opponent for concentrating on. He’ll miss the primary half of Friday’s recreation towards Boise State. Marenco is a rotational linebacker and particular teamer.

Boise has extra urgent personnel points. Two key contributors had been carted into the tunnel in final Saturday’s ugly loss to Oregon State, rotational WR Austin Bolt, and high CB Markel Reed. Bolt broke his leg and is completed for the yr.

Reed’s standing is much less clear in the mean time, however his odds of taking part in this weekend wouldn’t appear to be nice. Reed additionally missed a little bit greater than half of final season attributable to accidents.

However that’s not all in Bronco land, people. HC Andy Avalos benched QB Hank Bachmeier following three first-half turnovers within the loss to the Beavers. The offense gained 22 yards within the 17 snaps Bachmeier took.

Frosh QB Taylen Inexperienced took over and impressed, changing into the primary Broncos quarterback since 2014 to hurry for greater than 100 yards. He completed 19-of-28 for 155 yards and an INT whereas speeding for 102 yards and two TD on 11 makes an attempt.

Avalos might not announce a beginning quarterback for Friday’s recreation till gameday. Keep tuned.

TCU vs. Tarleton State
ATL: N/A

TCU QB Chandler Morris left final Friday’s 38-13 win over Colorado with a knee damage. Coaches dominated out Morris for Saturday’s recreation towards Tarleton, and early experiences counsel he might miss a month.

QB2 Max Duggan, the previous starter, relieved Morris and outplayed him, sparking the offense. Morris, extra of the pocket-passer, went a meager 13-of-20 for 111 yards. Duggan solely tried three passes, finishing two for 27 yards, however he abused the Buffs on the bottom for 41 yards on three carries.

Duggan is greater, extra athletic, and a extra productive runner than Morris and in addition has a stronger arm. However Duggan has at all times struggled with turnovers and accuracy. He gained’t be examined in that regard this weekend.

However it’ll be price checking in on this recreation to see how Duggan is acclimating within the pocket to HC Sonny Dykes’ Air Raid system. That’s intel we are able to use later this month.

Texas Tech (-3) vs. Houston
ATL: UH -0.2

My system sees worth within the underdog. And that’s earlier than considering that the favourite, Texas Tech, goes to be with out its beginning quarterback.

QB1 Tyler Shough exited final Saturday’s 63-10 victory over Murray State within the first quarter with a left shoulder damage. It’s the identical shoulder he underwent season-ending surgical procedure on final September. Tech HC Joey McGuire stated after the sport that the staff’s medical workers was nonetheless engaged on a prognosis.

“[W]e can’t inform if it’s an AC joint or collarbone, like the place (the damage is),” McGuire stated. “We’re hoping it’s AC, however that’s actually sore to play with. You’re not taking part in quarterback with an AC (damage) for a few weeks. If it’s collarbone, it’d in all probability be, relying on what it’s, 4 to 6 weeks. And, man, I hate it for him.” So you possibly can count on Shough to overlook between 2-6 weeks.

If there’s one bit of fine information for the Crimson Raiders, it’s that they’re way more geared up to take care of Shough’s damage this season than they had been final yr. That’s as a result of final season’s damage opened the door for QB Donovan Smith, who began the final 4 video games of 2021 and gained the Liberty Bowl MVP award. Smith was distinctive on Saturday, going 14-of-16 for 221 yards and 4 TD.

Tech even has depth behind Smith, within the type of former four-star recruit QB Behren Morton. Morton entered Saturday’s blowout halfway by means of the third quarter and went 7-of-10 for 97 yards, a TD, and an INT.

The Crimson Raiders did get good damage information on CB Adrian Frye, who left final week’s recreation with a thigh contusion within the first half. McGuire instructed reporters he believes Frye can be prepared for Saturday’s recreation towards Houston.

Ohio St. (-44.5) vs. Arkansas St.
ATL: OSU -44.5

Ohio State WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba exited Saturday’s win over Notre Dame after one half. Smith-Njigba took a giant hit close to the sidelines within the first quarter. His helmet popped off, and he landed awkwardly. In line with the printed, Smith-Njigba tweaked his left knee/hamstring space.

Smith-Njigba briefly exited the sport, returned for one collection within the second quarter, after which was pulled, maybe for precautionary causes. He spent a few of the second half driving an train bike and working some sprints on the sidelines.

HC Ryan Day expressed optimism to reporters that Smith-Njigba will be capable of return this weekend for the sport towards Arkansas State.

SMU vs. Lamar
ATL: N/A

SMU beginning slot WR Jake Bailey exited Saturday’s win over North Texas with an undisclosed damage. Bailey spent a couple of weeks of fall camp in a non-contact jersey after struggling a shoulder damage in early August. It’s unclear if he’ll must miss time. Bailey snagged a Rice-leading 56 catches for 714 yards and two TD final yr earlier than transferring over.

SMU additionally spent Saturday with out RB Velton Gardner, a Kansas switch, after Gardner suffered an unspecified damage in pregame exercises. Equally to Bailey, we don’t have any extra particulars than that proper now.

UAB (-4) at Liberty
ATL: UAB -1.6

Liberty QB Charlie Brewer will miss 6-8 weeks with a damaged hand suffered in Saturday’s OT win over Southern Miss. Liberty signed Brewer, who threw for over 10,000 yards throughout his time at Baylor and Utah, over the offseason to exchange Malik Willis within the beginning lineup.

HC Hugh Freeze gave QB Johnathan Bennett a twirl as soon as Brewer bought harm. Bennett went 7-for-18 for 38 yards. However frosh QB Kedon Salter seemed superior when his quantity was referred to as, going 8-for-13 for 148 yards and two TD, together with 65 speeding yards. Salter is a former top-160 general recruit, per the 247Consensus.

A monitor and area athlete in highschool, Salter starred within the 300-meter hurdles, excessive leap, lengthy leap, and triple leap. Analysts in contrast him to Jayden Daniels popping out of the prep ranks (on the time, this was a praise). Usually faculties like Liberty don’t have entry to this caliber of recruit. Nonetheless, Salter was compelled out of Tennessee following an arrest in reference to an assault and housebreaking shortly after signing.

You’d should think about Salter will take the sector with the starters on Saturday towards UAB. His recreation is much extra just like Willis’ than Brewer’s, so the workers shouldn’t have a troublesome time adapting to the surprising change.

Texas St. (-10.5) vs. Florida Worldwide
ATL: TSU -12.3

FIU QB Gunnar Holmberg is uncertain to play after struggling a concussion in final week’s 38-37 OT win over FCS Bryant. Holmberg, a Duke switch, was one of many program’s high portal signings over the offseason.

After he was pulled, QB2 Grayson James really outplayed Holmberg. James went 16-of-31 for 207 yards and 4 TD, together with three fourth-quarter touchdowns and the game-winning 2-point conversion in OT.

Holmberg’s standing hasn’t been up to date but, however it will seem uncertain that he’ll be capable of begin on Saturday.

Miami (FL) (-25.5) vs. Southern Miss
ATL: Miami -26.5

Southern Miss’ beginning quarterback additionally suffered a concussion final week. USM QB Ty Keyes was knocked out of the OT loss to Liberty.

From media quotes, it appears like Keyes has a greater shot of a fast bounce-back than Holmberg. HC Will Corridor instructed reporters on Monday that Keyes has a shot to play towards Miami however wouldn’t talk about Keyes’ prognosis with any extra specificity than that.

Cincinnati vs. Kennesaw State
ATL: N/A

Pundits anticipated LSU switch RB Corey Kiner to run away with the beginning job in camp however didn’t. As an alternative, Ryan Montgomery was named RB1 of an anticipated committee method.

However Montgomery was knocked out of Saturday’s loss to Arkansas with an unspecified damage after gaining solely seven yards on 4 carries. Kiner was spectacular in his motion, changing 12 carries into 59 yards and a TD.

No matter Montgomery’s standing for this coming weekend, I might count on Kiner to attract the beginning.

BYU (-2.5) vs. Baylor
ATL: BYU -3.0

Final week, BYU performed with out WR Gunner Romney attributable to an undisclosed damage. So the Cougs bought WR Puka Nacua concerned early, calling a pair of jet sweeps within the first quarter towards USF that each resulted in Nacua touchdowns.

The third time BYU dialed up a Nakua jet sweep, USF was prepared, swarming Nakua. Nakua was gradual to stand up. He later emerged from the damage tent with a strolling boot on his proper foot, ending his evening.

BYU HC Kalani Sitake referred to as the choice to take away Nakua from the sport “precautionary” and indicated that Nakua’s preliminary X-Rays seemed good.

Nakua and Romney’s statuses each bear monitoring for bettors inquisitive about investing on this fascinating early-season matchup.

5 early-week spreads of curiosity

Syracuse (-20.5) at UConn
ATL: Cuse -25.4

The Orange had been one of many nice surprises of Week 1, blasting Louisville 31-7. It seems Syracuse’s passing recreation and protection have each taken a big step ahead for the reason that finish of final season.

That efficiency ought to have gotten Syracuse upgraded in energy rankings. However the sportsbooks seem to have ignored that with this opening quantity, dropping a ramification extra indicative of preseason outlooks for each groups.

There’s a line worth on Syracuse at this quantity – I count on it to be nearer to my adjusted variety of -25.4 by kickoff.

Tennessee (-4.5) at Pittsburgh
ATL: Tenn -0.2

The sportsbooks and betting market imagine Tennessee is an honest quantity higher than Pittsburgh to favor the Vols by 4 and a hook on the highway. My numbers imagine this recreation needs to be a decide ‘em. Each groups seemed superb in Week 1, with Tennessee racing by Ball State and Pitt outlasting West Virginia.

Pitt will spend the week attempting to find out the standing of a pair of key contributors. RB ​​Rodney Hammond Jr. suffered a proper leg damage on a helmet-to-helmet concentrating on name within the win over the Mountaineers. Hammond was in a strolling boot after the sport however vowed he would play towards Tennessee. Hammond was a breakout star towards WVU, posting 129 scrimmage yards and two TD.

DL Deslin Alexandre additionally suffered a lower-body damage towards West Virginia that ended his day early. Coaches and teammates each expressed optimism to reporters within the postgame that Alexander could be superb for Saturday’s recreation towards Tennessee.

Illinois (-3.5) at Virginia
ATL: UVA -1.1

That is the second-straight week the books have opened Illinois with a bizarre quantity. Final week, it was opening the Illini as four-point underdogs to Indiana, what seemed to be a mistake line. Illini gagged away a win late and misplaced 23-20 however lined most unfold tickets bought by means of mid-week.

This week, the books have surprisingly swung the opposite manner, regardless of Illinois’ late-game collapse. This time, it’s the Illini getting an excessive amount of respect. My numbers say Virginia needs to be favored. Matchup-wise, Illinois goes to have points with Virginia’s high-octane passing assault.

Mississippi St. (-7.5) at Arizona
ATL: MSU -14.1

Final week, I backed Arizona as a 6.5-point underdog to San Diego State. I cherished what HC Jedd Fisch did over the offseason, including a top-25 recruiting class and a number of marquee switch portal acquisitions. Arizona went out and surprised San Diego State 38-20.

The books overreacted to that upset win, opening the Wildcats as solely 7.5-point house underdogs to Mississippi State. MSU seemed simply pretty much as good as Arizona did final week, blasting Memphis.

It’s simply that Mike Leach’s crew stays a number of steps above Arizona, qualitatively. Arizona, which has had secondary points lately, goes to have its fingers full with Leach’s Air Raid. Leach’s offensive technique is the polar reverse of San Diego State’s downhill-running ethos.

Oregon St. (-1) at Fresno St.
ATL: FSU -2.3

One other occasion the place I believe the books opened the incorrect staff as the favourite.

Oregon State seemed unbelievable within the opener, racing out to a 24-0 lead over Boise State at halftime in an eventual 34-17 win. However BSU QB Hank Bachmeier’s nightmare efficiency tremendously aided the Beavs.

Bachmeier had virtually as many first-half turnovers (three) as he had completions (4). The sport was already, for all sensible functions, over by the point Bachmeier was yanked.

Fresno didn’t have an analogous alternative to impress the betting public, taking part in an FCS opponent (35-7 win). However we are able to’t neglect that the Bulldogs have one of the vital devastating aerial assaults within the nation, led by QB Jake Haener and a deep group of receivers.

Oregon State’s cross protection was No. 82 EPA/cross in 2021. Bachmeier’s dud flattered the Beavs. Haener ought to present a market correction in that regard.

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Faculty Soccer, Recreation Previews, Picks

Author: Carl Morris