School Soccer Week 3: Early Traces, Odds & Predictions (2022)

College Football Week 3: Early Lines, Odds & Predictions (2022)

Right here’s an early take a look at School Soccer Week 3 spreads, together with my projections. We’ll run by main accidents which are affecting spreads and hit on video games you may need to think about betting early within the week as a consequence of anticipated line motion.

Within the field beneath are my adjusted spreads for this weekend’s video games. ATL stands for “Adjusted Thor Line.” Spreads are from the attitude of the house staff, i.e. a damaging quantity means the house staff is favored. Within the worth column, a damaging quantity signifies factors of worth on the unfold for the house staff, whereas a constructive quantity signifies factors worth on the away staff. ATT stands for “Adjusted Thor Complete.” Projected totals are primarily based on 2021 knowledge and don’t account for personnel or schematic modifications (ie carry that with you to your handicap)

* Projected totals coming quickly

Take a look at Thor Nystrom’s Week 3 School Soccer Energy Rankings >>

School Soccer Week 3: Early Traces, Odds & Predictions




Away
Residence
ATL
Unfold
Worth
Day
CST


Florida St.
Louisville
3.7
2
1.7
Friday
6:30 PM


Air Power
Wyoming
15.2
17
-1.8
Friday
7:00 PM


Georgia
South Carolina
22.0
24.5
-2.5
Saturday
11:00 AM


Connecticut
Michigan
-46.6
-46.5
-0.1
Saturday
11:00 AM


Oklahoma
Nebraska
10.3
11.5
-1.2
Saturday
11:00 AM


Texas St.
Baylor
-32.3
-30.5
-1.8
Saturday
11:00 AM


Purdue
Syracuse
0.7
1
-0.3
Saturday
11:00 AM


Cincinnati
Miami (OH)
19.9
21
-1.1
Saturday
11:00 AM


Western Kentucky
Indiana
1.2
-6.5
7.7
Saturday
11:00 AM


Buffalo
Coastal Carolina
-13.1
-14.5
1.4
Saturday
12:00 PM


South Alabama
UCLA
-17.4
-15.5
-1.9
Saturday
1:00 PM


Ohio
Iowa St.
-24.7
-17.5
-7.2
Saturday
1:00 PM


Rutgers
Temple
19.2
18.5
0.7
Saturday
1:00 PM


Previous Dominion
Virginia
-8.9
-10.5
1.6
Saturday
1:00 PM


California
Notre Dame
-19.5
-9.5
-10.0
Saturday
1:30 PM


Tulane
Kansas St.
-10.2
-16
5.8
Saturday
2:00 PM


North Texas
UNLV
1.1
-3
4.1
Saturday
2:00 PM


New Mexico St.
Wisconsin
-42.0
-37.5
-4.5
Saturday
2:30 PM


Brigham Younger
Oregon
-1.5
-3.5
2.0
Saturday
2:30 PM


Ole Miss
Georgia Tech
19.1
16
3.1
Saturday
2:30 PM


Penn St.
Auburn
2.1
3
-0.9
Saturday
2:30 PM


Vanderbilt
Northern Illinois
-0.4
-1.5
1.1
Saturday
2:30 PM


Colorado
Minnesota
-24.3
-27.5
3.2
Saturday
2:30 PM


Troy
Appalachian St.
-10.4
-12.5
2.1
Saturday
2:30 PM


Georgia Southern
UAB
-15.1
-12
-3.1
Saturday
2:30 PM


Louisiana-Monroe
Alabama
-53.3
-49
-4.3
Saturday
3:00 PM


Kansas
Houston
-13.1
-9.5
-3.6
Saturday
3:00 PM


Liberty
Wake Forest
-12.9
-16.5
3.6
Saturday
4:00 PM


Colorado St.
Washington St.
-16.2
-16.5
0.3
Saturday
4:00 PM


Marshall
Bowling Inexperienced
21.6
16.5
5.1
Saturday
4:00 PM


Mississippi St.
LSU
-0.7
2
-2.7
Saturday
5:00 PM


Toledo
Ohio St.
-27.4
-31
3.6
Saturday
6:00 PM


Texas Tech
North Carolina St.
-8.3
-10.5
2.2
Saturday
6:00 PM


Akron
Tennessee
-41.1
-48
6.9
Saturday
6:00 PM


Arkansas St.
Memphis
-14.7
-13.5
-1.2
Saturday
6:00 PM


Charlotte
Georgia St.
-17.3
-20
2.7
Saturday
6:00 PM


South Florida
Florida
-21.4
-24.5
3.1
Saturday
6:30 PM


Michigan St.
Washington
3.6
-3.5
7.1
Saturday
6:30 PM


Pittsburgh
Western Michigan
19.0
10.5
8.5
Saturday
6:30 PM


Nevada
Iowa
-23.1
-23
-0.1
Saturday
6:30 PM


SMU
Maryland
-1.6
-3.5
1.9
Saturday
6:30 PM


UCF
Florida Atlantic
12.1
9.5
2.6
Saturday
6:30 PM


Louisiana
Rice
15.9
11.5
4.4
Saturday
6:30 PM


Louisiana Tech
Clemson
-34.0
-32.5
-1.5
Saturday
7:00 PM


UTEP
New Mexico
-1.2
3
-4.2
Saturday
7:00 PM


UTSA
Texas
-15.5
-11
-4.5
Saturday
7:00 PM


Miami (FL)
Texas A&M
-1.3
-5.5
4.2
Saturday
8:00 PM


San Diego St.
Utah
-23.6
-21
-2.6
Saturday
9:00 PM


Fresno St.
USC
-14.8
-13
-1.8
Saturday
9:30 PM


Japanese Michigan
Arizona St.
-19.5
-19
-0.5
Saturday
10:00 PM

 

School Soccer Sport Previews & Information

Texas (-11) vs. UTSA
ATL: UT -15.5

Quinn Ewers will miss 4-6 weeks after struggling an SC sprain to his non-throwing shoulder in Saturday’s near-miss loss to Alabama. Hudson Card, who took over for the injured Ewers, will deal with beginning duties till Ewers’ return. The earliest Ewers might return would look like Oct. 8 towards Oklahoma, and you’ll wager Ewers’ rehab will probably be geared in the direction of that concept.

Card offers extra mobility than Ewers, however he doesn’t have close to Ewers’ arm expertise. Count on to see extra operating out of Texas with Card behind middle. RB Bijan Robinson will get all of the touches he can deal with.

The discrepancy between my unfold for this sport (-15.5) and the Vegas line (-11) will be defined by Ewers’ harm.

We additionally discovered this week that Texas TE Jaheel Billingsley, an Alabama switch, is serving a six-game suspension for what was described as one thing that occurred earlier than he was with the Texas program. Billingsley was anticipated to be UT’s beginning tight finish.

If there’s a small bit of fine information, it’s that WR Agiye Corridor, mockingly one other Alabama switch, had his suspension for a felony mischief cost lifted late final week. Corridor was the backup z-WR on Saturday’s depth chart for Alabama.

Corridor took just one snap in Saturday’s sport, and he wasn’t focused. However the former four-star recruit might doubtlessly work his means into a bigger position alongside Xavier Worthy and Jordan Whittington within the weeks forward.

Rutgers (-18.5) at Temple
ATL: Rutgers -19.2

Rutgers QB Noah Vedral remained out for Saturday’s blowout win over Wagner with a hand harm. Rutgers hasn’t provided a timeline for his return.

Ballyhooed redshirt freshman QB Gavin Wimsatt hasn’t been sharp with elevated snaps by the primary two video games. For his profession, Wimsatt is now 17-of-41 (41.5%) for 141 yards and a 1/4 TD/INT ratio. If Rutgers had its druthers, he in all probability wouldn’t take one other snap in a big spot this season. Too early to evoke Artur Sitkowski, nevertheless it’s been a tough begin by any measure (however remember this context: Wimsatt graduated a 12 months early from highschool, so this ought to be his true freshman 12 months).

Rutgers gained’t want Vedral to beat Temple. However Vedral’s standing is one thing to watch when Rutgers will get into Massive 10 play.

Ohio State (-31) vs. Toledo
ATL: OSU -27.4

WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba missed Saturday’s blowout victory over Arkansas State with the hamstring harm that knocked him out of the opening-week win over Notre Dame. Smith-Njigba is anticipated to overlook this weekend’s sport towards Toledo, too.

OSU was additionally with out WR Julian Fleming towards the Purple Wolves. Fleming warmed up earlier than the sport towards the Combating Irish and likewise earlier than Saturday’s sport towards ASU however was unable to play in both. OSU HC Ryan Day expects Fleming again this weekend towards Toledo.

With Smith-Njigba down, kids Marvin Harrison Jr. (7-184-3) and Emeka Egbuka (4-118-1) every went off towards the Purple Wolves. Each will get peppered with targets once more towards Toledo. If Fleming is lively, he would give the Buckeyes the official WR3 they didn’t have towards ASU.

DC Jim Knowles stated after the opening-week win over Notre Dame that the Buckeyes performed “somewhat fundamental” protection that night time and that there have been a “lot of issues we haven’t proven.” That remained the case after the win over Arkansas State, and can probably be the case after the Toledo sport, too.

Count on Knowles to open up his bag of tips when Massive 10 play opens. Early returns on Knowles’ unit have been extraordinarily constructive, for no matter that’s price.

Kentucky vs. Youngstown State
ATL: N/A

Kentucky RB Chris Rodriguez Jr., who’s been suspended for a DUI cost, has been cleared to return on Oct. 1 towards Ole Miss. Which means he’ll miss this weekend’s sport towards FCS YSU and likewise subsequent week’s non-con matchup towards Northern Illinois.

Kentucky can be lacking RB Ramon Jefferson, who suffered a season-ending ACL harm within the opener towards Miami (OH). Kentucky has managed to start out 2-0 regardless of the compromised backfield depth.

RB Kavosiey Smoke will maintain the beginning gig by the top of the month. Extra explosive than Rodriguez however not as environment friendly, Smoke rushed for 80 yards on 14 carries in Saturday’s 26-16 upset win over Florida.

Florida State (-2) at Louisville
ATL: FSU -3.7

Arizona State DL switch Jermayne Lole, some of the sought-after defenders within the switch portal over the offseason, wasn’t lively for Friday’s upset win over UCF and is anticipated to overlook the remainder of the season.

Lole missed final season with a triceps harm. He’s now coping with an harm to his different arm. How Louisville continues to cope with that’s one thing to watch within the coming weeks. The Cardinals’ run protection is the clear Achilles Heel of the staff. That was an space Lole was imagined to improve.

UCLA (-15.5) vs. South Alabama
ATL: UCLA -17.4

UCLA RB Zach Charbonnet didn’t play towards Alabama State for unspecified causes over the weekend. Fellow star QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson was then knocked out of that 45-7 win with an ankle harm.

Concern not, UCLA followers. Each gamers have been full contributors in Monday’s follow. Media experiences from the sphere stated DTR was shifting round nicely, exhibiting no lingering results.

UCLA HC Chip Kelly used the matchup with an FCS staff to get most of his roster subject enjoying expertise. On Monday, Kelly stated that 88 gamers on the roster noticed the sphere towards Alabama State.

Notre Dame (-9) vs. California
ATL: ND -19.5

Notre Dame QB Tyler Buchner suffered a season-ending high-grade AC joint sprain in his non-throwing shoulder in Saturday’s 26-21 house loss to Marshall. He’ll bear surgical procedure within the coming days. Buchner was a blended bag in his two begins, going 28-of-50 for 378 yards and a 0/2 TD/INT fee.

ND HC Marcus Freeman introduced Monday that QB Drew Pyne will assume beginning duties, backed up by Steve Angeli, a real freshman. Pyne is smaller and fewer athletic than Buchner, and he doesn’t have as a lot arm power, both.

However Pyne has appeared first rate as a caretaker in his seems the previous couple of years. With Pyne behind middle, the ceiling of the offense lowers, however the ground might have risen. Buchner has playmaking chops however has posted a 3/5 TD/INT fee over 85 profession makes an attempt. Pyne has a 3/1 TD/INT ratio over 39 profession makes an attempt with a barely greater passer score.

Angeli was a consensus four-star recruit. He’s greater than each Buchner and Pyne – 6’3/215 – and has a robust downfield arm with contact. Angeli is a pocket passer who’s snug throwing on the transfer and off-platform. Irish Wire in contrast him to “[Ian] E-book hulked up.”

Buchner’s harm definitely doesn’t assist the Irish. Nevertheless it categorically doesn’t cripple them, both.

5 Early Week Traces of Curiosity

Kansas State (-16) vs. Tulane
ATL: KSU -10.2

This line seems to be closely juiced in the direction of Kansas State after the Wildcats drop-kicked Missouri 40-12 over the weekend. KSU’s protection performed superior, however the closing margin of victory was additionally extremely attributable to Mizzou’s smelly QB play – the Tigers threw 4 interceptions on solely 31 makes an attempt.

In the meantime, KSU’s offense appeared one-dimensional. Star RB Deuce Vaughn ran for 145 yards. However QB Adrian Martinez went simply 9-of-20 for 101 yards. KSU doesn’t have a lot of a receiving corps.

This line might be not giving enough credit score to Tulane, additionally 2-0. That’s probably as a result of no person has seen Tulane play but. The Inexperienced Wave has outscored opponents 94-10, however these opponents have been an FCS staff and a quasi-FCS staff in UMass.

Tulane returned a metric ton of beginning expertise this season. The arrow for the Inexperienced Wave is pointing upwards – they’re a purchase staff. And this seems like a superb alternative to seize worth on them whereas Vegas remains to be providing it.

UNLV (-3) vs. North Texas
ATL: UNT -1.1

UNLV has appeared extra aggressive within the early going, blowing out an FCS staff and staying inside one possession in a loss to Cal over the weekend. Nonetheless, it’s stunning to see the Runnin’ Rebs favored by a subject aim on this spot.

North Texas, 2-1, annihilated UTEP – a 2021 bowl staff – within the opener and likewise blew out an FCS staff final week. In between, UNT obtained boat-raced by SMU. However that’s no embarrassment – SMU is likely one of the G5’s prime groups.

My numbers say the flawed staff is favored.

Mississippi State (-2) at LSU
ATL: LSU -0.7

Washington (-3.5) vs. Michigan St.
ATL: MSU -3.6

Talking of my system disagreeing with the sportsbooks on the favourite, we’ve two extra attention-grabbing circumstances within the P5 this week.

On Sunday, sportsbooks opened Mississippi State as a 3-point favourite at LSU. As I talked about with Thomas Viola on our Sunday lookahead present, I felt that was a mistake. Certain sufficient, the road had dropped to MSU -2 in a single day.

The general public is having a tough time getting LSU’s one-point loss to Florida State in primetime within the opener out of their minds. With the credit score of house subject, this sport ought to be decide ‘em or LSU -1.

My numbers are exhibiting a good greater discrepancy within the Michigan State-Washington tilt. The market is more and more assured within the new-look Huskies now that they’ll play some offense below new HC Kalen Deboer and switch QB Michael Penix.

That’s definitely comprehensible amid UW’s 2-0 begin – the Huskies have outscored opponents 97-26. However these opponents have been an FCS staff and Kent State. Kent State is infamous for scheduling payout video games towards P5 opponents in September and laying down for them with an eye fixed on MAC play. Since 2019, KSU is 0-8 in these spots, with the closest loss coming by 23.

Michigan State opened 2-0 with a pair of blowouts over MAC groups (87-13 mixed scores).

Each groups have appeared good towards cupcakes. However the market might have upgraded UW an excessive amount of whereas overlooking the Kenneth Walker-less Spartans. I didn’t purchase a ticket on this one but – however you higher imagine I’ll be digging deep into this matchup within the coming days.

Texas A&M (-5.5) vs. Miami (FL)
ATL: A&M -1.3

The market isn’t penalizing A&M in any respect for final week’s house upset loss to Appalachian State. On the one hand, I type of perceive. Appy State completed with only a 22.6% postgame win expectancy… it was barely fluky that they gained.

On the opposite, I don’t. A&M is a uncommon exception the market has granted by way of not penalizing a staff that no-showed a loss the earlier week to an inferior opponent. The Aggies didn’t take Appalachian State severely – Aggie gamers have been brazenly and enthusiastically mocking Appy in pregame pep rallies – and paid the value. Now we’re imagined to count on A&M to flip the sunshine swap again on the following week as a result of Miami… is an even bigger title?

Miami has destroyed an FCS staff and Southern Miss the primary two weeks. We haven’t but seen Mario Cristobal’s staff play a high quality opponent. However this Miami staff is extra harmful than current incarnations.

The Hurricanes have an NFL prospect at QB (Tyler Van Dyke), they solved their operating sport by discovering a gem within the portal (Henry Parrish Jr.), they’re sturdy alongside each traces, they’ll get after the quarterback, and so they have a number of future NFL gamers within the secondary.

This line is giving A&M an excessive amount of respect whereas seemingly overlooking the Hurricanes.

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School Soccer, Sport Previews, Picks

Author: Carl Morris